United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities was 1.48% in February of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities reached a record high of 100.00 in November of 1974 and a record low of 0.00 in November of 1968. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on April of 2024.